Do
·
Feel
·
Connect
· Fig. 3 · The scoring and confidence funnel
From raw signal to trusted state
.
How a guest's raw data becomes a state you can act on,
and how we know when to hold back
.
01
Start with 16 signals
Dashed = context only, not scored
DO · WHAT THEY DO · 5
Last visit
Visits 12m
Spend 12m
Books direct
Browsing
FEEL · HOW THEY FEEL · 6
NPS
CSAT
Reviews
Complaints
Problems fixed well
Theme tags
CONNECT · HOW BONDED · 5
Returns after problems
Loyal without offers
Refers friends
Shares preferences
Opt-ins
02
Compared with guests like them
Same brand
›
Same market
›
Life stage
›
Guest type
Like for like, never the whole base
03
Three scores per guest
Do · 0-100
Feel · 0-100
Connect · 0-100
Recent evidence counts most
04
Scores become simple bands
LOW 0-39
MEDIUM 40-74
HIGH 75+
No blended single score, ever
05
How much can we trust it?
Every score is checked before anyone acts
Enough data? 40%
Fresh? 25%
Consistent? 20%
Unbiased? 15%
Firm?
FIRM
Sure enough to act, with budget.
PROVISIONAL
Not sure yet. Improve the data first, spend nothing.
BACK TO SIGNALS
Octagon Square · Do Feel Connect · The Loyalty Playbook
Guess less. Care more.